blog.wvpolicy.org

Extending Payroll Tax Cut and Unemployment Benefits Thousands of West Virginians

Last night, in his State of the Union address, President Obama asked Congress to pass an extension of the payroll tax cut without delay. The original tax cut, which reduced the employee share of Social Security taxes, expired at the end of 2011 and was extended for two months. Along with the payroll tax cut, Congress also passed a two month re-authorization  of extended federal unemployment insurance, which provides unemployment benefits to the long-term unemployed. 

Both of these provisions will expire at the end of February without Congressional action, and a report released yesterday from the Joint Economic Committee outlines the economic impact of these two policies, underscoring the importance of their extension to West Virginia and the nation.

According to the report, failure to extend the payroll tax cut and federal unemployment insurance benefits for the rest of 2012 could reduce GDP growth by 1.7 percentage points in 2012, due to the negative impact on disposable personal income.

Extending the payroll tax cut increase the median take home pay in West Virginia by $724 for the remainder of the year, while keeping federal emergency unemployment insurance benefits would prevent 10,000 long-term unemployed West Virginians from losing their benefits on June 2.

Both the payroll tax cut and the extension of emergency federal unemployment benefits are effective economic stimuli, providing a large bang for the buck. Both bolster consumer demand, putting money in the pockets of those who are most likely to spend it. In addition, the payroll tax cut does not harm the financial security of social security, as the temporary reduction in payroll tax revenue has been and would continue to be made up by reimbursements from the Treasury's General Fund.

While the economy in West Virginia and the nation overall has been making progress in recent months, the premature expiration of these policies could put the brakes on the recovery, and hurt the pockets of working families who are already struggling. 

Marcellus revenues already offsetting business tax cuts

We've brought up creating some sort of trust fund with the state's severance tax revenue time and time again, so it was good to read about state Republican legislators talking about a severance tax fund in the Gazette this morning. However, it was disappointing to see that their proposal was to use a severance tax fund to finance business tax cuts, rather than building a permanent source of sustainable wealth.

The proposal would take a portion of the revenue generated by the severance tax on natural gas and place it into a "tax reduction fund." The tax reduction fund would be used to offset the loss in revenue for local governments and schools from the proposal's major goal - the elimination of the business personal property tax. The idea being that increases in severance tax revenue from the development of the Marcellus Shale can be used to offset the tax cut.
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Inequality Driven by Growing Shift Toward Capital Income

When we last talked about growing income inequality, the CBO had released a report showing that incomes for the richest households in the U.S. have been growing much faster than the incomes of the poor and middle class. Another study, this time from the Congressional Research Service (CRS), has confirmed that income inequality is on the rise in the U.S.

The CRS report looked at after tax income from 1996 to 2006, and the findings echoed the CBO report.
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Business Tax Cuts - No Free Lunch

While the state should be doing all that it can to stimulate economic growth and jobs, cutting business taxes is  an inefficient, regressive, and poor choice for creating broadly shared prosperity. As Sean has pointed out, they are much better ways to accomplish this goal.

As AP points out today, the corporate net income tax will fall to 7.75% this year and the business franchise tax will be eliminated by 2015 (see chart below).





In terms of inefficiency, the business tax reductions will likely offer little in terms of creating new jobs or in enticing new businesses to locate in the state. Also, there is no guarantee that business (mostly large out of state businesses pay corporate taxes) will reinvest that money or hire people in West Virginia.
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Does West Virginia Invest Enough in Higher Education?

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Government Played Critical Role in Shale Gas Boom

Today, the Washington Post had a insightful op-ed highlighting the large and critical role federal spending played in the boom in shale gas drilling:

Many often point to the shale gas revolution as evidence that the private sector, in response to market forces, is better than government bureaucrats at picking technological winners. It’s a compelling story, one that pits inventive entrepreneurs against slow-moving technocrats and self-dealing politicians.

The problem is, it isn’t true.

The breakthroughs that revolutionized the natural gas industry — massive hydraulic fracturing, new mapping tools and horizontal drilling — were made possible by the government agencies that critics insist are incapable of investing wisely in new technology.

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Will the business personal property tax deter a cracker plant?

Today's Daily Mail had an article about a proposed tax incentive designed to lure a potential "ethane cracker" to West Virginia. The proposal would reduced the assessment rate for property taxes from 60% to 5% for the cracker facility. This would dramatically lower the facility's property tax burden, to the tune of about $500 million over the next 25 years.

So why does West Virginia need such a large tax incentive encourage a cracker facility to come here?
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OPEB Cap Costs Public Employees $5 billion

In his column this morning Phil Kabler briefly noted that the result of capping the state's contribution to retiree health insurance was "that the burden was shifted onto current and future retirees." This is something I wrote about last week, so it was nice to see this basic point acknowledged in print. Another point that has been absent from the debate on OPEB is how much in compensation public employees will lose because of PEIA's decision to cap the retiree subsidy provided by the state.

The chart below provides some estimates.

In FY 2011, the state is estimated to pay approximately 67 percent or $148 million of total retiree health care costs, while retirees will pay about 33 percent or $72 million.
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Solving the OPEB problem is in reach

Last night the Charleston Area Alliance hosted a discussion between Senator Brooks McCabe, PEIA director Ted Cheatham, and yours truly on how to address the state's growing OPEB (other-post employment benefits) liability. As readers may know, we published a lengthy report on how the state should handle this problem back in January. I do not have much more to add to the discussion that was not in our report, but uploaded here are some of my notes from the event.

One thing that I stressed at the event was that the state should not overreact to the OPEB liability by completely per-funding it.
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State Infrastructure Policy to Put Workers Back to Work

As many readers may know, we've been pushing the idea that one of the best ways our state could create jobs today would be to issue bonds for much needed investments in infrastructure and schools. This idea is not new. If fact, other states have already implemented this policy as way to boost job creation and save money over the long-term. Writing in Bloomburg Yesterday, policy guru Ezra Klein makes a solid case for increasing federal spending on infrastructure that applies equally at the state-level. << MORE >>

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